Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.097546 0.112770 0.129576 0.149504 0.172492 0.198181 0.229078
2025-12-21 0.073554 0.093974 0.118826 0.151298 0.192628 0.243511 0.310983
2025-12-28 0.062619 0.085788 0.115974 0.158183 0.215725 0.291514 0.399103
2026-01-04 0.054343 0.078814 0.112516 0.162324 0.234134 0.334069 0.484042
2026-01-11 0.048029 0.073181 0.109526 0.165877 0.251158 0.375631 0.571640
2026-01-18 0.042502 0.067685 0.105674 0.167155 0.264325 0.412326 0.655640
2026-01-25 0.037231 0.061732 0.100175 0.164876 0.271270 0.439749 0.727844
2026-02-01 0.032242 0.055497 0.093337 0.159380 0.272041 0.456990 0.784991
2026-02-08 0.029502 0.052587 0.091450 0.161622 0.285507 0.495845 0.881800
2026-02-15 0.026871 0.049504 0.088848 0.162201 0.295960 0.530389 0.974595
2026-02-22 0.024818 0.047173 0.087235 0.164229 0.309003 0.570488 1.081284
2026-03-01 0.022280 0.043633 0.083026 0.160961 0.311859 0.592345 1.156425
2026-03-08 0.020153 0.040665 0.079621 0.158962 0.317151 0.619759 1.246296
2026-03-15 0.018722 0.038893 0.078302 0.160865 0.330241 0.663440 1.373139
2026-03-22 0.018030 0.038517 0.079645 0.168184 0.354866 0.732104 1.557774
2026-03-29 0.017091 0.037511 0.079591 0.172586 0.373919 0.791444 1.729610
2026-04-05 0.016176 0.036441 0.079274 0.176364 0.392005 0.850548 1.907380
2026-04-12 0.015132 0.034964 0.077923 0.177722 0.404945 0.899989 2.069388
2026-04-19 0.013885 0.032882 0.075027 0.175300 0.409169 0.930855 2.193027
2026-04-26 0.012511 0.030344 0.070840 0.169456 0.404918 0.942356 2.273276
2026-05-03 0.011849 0.029415 0.070214 0.171841 0.420080 0.999455 2.467059
2026-05-10 0.011124 0.028250 0.068913 0.172456 0.431056 1.047880 2.645197
2026-05-17 0.010555 0.027404 0.068277 0.174612 0.445999 1.107176 2.856551